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Key Budget 2026 Measures & Promises

  • Writer: Aamer Amin
    Aamer Amin
  • 2 hours ago
  • 3 min read

Frozen tax thresholds & “stealth”

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  • The government will freeze the thresholds for income tax and National Insurance until April 2031.

  • Because wages tend to rise over time, freezing thresholds effectively pushes more people into higher tax bands (“fiscal drag”). According to official forecasts, by 2029-30 this change alone will raise around £8 billion for the Treasury.

  • Total new tax-raising measures announced amount to about £26 billion per year by 2029-30.


New tax on expensive homes (mansion tax) & property-related changes

  • The Budget introduces a new annual “mansion levy” for homes valued over £2 million (in 2026 prices), payable from April 2028.

  • There are also tweaks to business investment allowances, capital-gains and corporate taxation rules to influence business property and investment decisions.


Cuts/Freezes to selected household costs

  • To help with the cost of living, the government pledges to cut around £150 from the “average household energy bill” from April 2026, by removing certain levies.

  • There's a freeze on fuel duty (extended until September 2026) and on rail fares, prescription charges, and other regulated costs.


Social welfare & public spending increases (notably child- and benefits-related)

  • The government is ending the two-child benefit cap from April 2026 — a move expected to help low-income families, lifting an estimated 450,000 children out of relative poverty over time.

  • There’s a rise in the National Minimum Wage / National Living Wage (in 2026) — helping lower-paid workers cope somewhat with inflation and higher living costs.

  • Additional spending commitments are aimed at public services — for example, new funding for health, welfare, and support for vulnerable people.


Governance, Debt & Fiscal Outlook

  • The government claims this Budget meets its fiscal rules: it intends for day-to-day spending to be matched by revenues by 2029-30.

  • The independent watchdog Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecasts that the Budget’s changes raise the government’s “headroom” (the buffer against a fiscal shock) to about £22 billion — up from ~£9 billion earlier in the year.

  • However, some analysts warn that extra spending (especially on welfare and public services) is being committed relatively soon, while much of the tax revenue increase is “back-loaded” — i.e., it comes in later years.


What It Means for Different Groups


For working-age households / wage-earners

  • Over time, many people — even with modest income growth — are likely to pay more in income tax (or get pushed into higher bands), due to threshold freeze.

  • People on lower incomes or with children may benefit from welfare changes (two-child limit scrapped, higher minimum wage), plus small savings via lower energy/fuel and frozen transport/utility costs.

  • If you own an expensive home (£2 M +) — you may face a new annual levy.


For businesses and investors

  • New taxes and higher effective tax burdens could reduce disposable incomes and consumption — potentially depressing demand.

  • On the other hand: incentives like a 40% first-year allowance for certain business investments are retained (though with some restriction), which may help firms investing in assets.

  • Property investors or high-value landlords may face greater uncertainty because of mansion tax and possible future levies.


For public services & long-term social goals

  • Increased spending on welfare, minimum wage, child support, healthcare, etc., may help reduce child poverty, improve living standards, and ease pressure on services.

  • If the government can deliver on its fiscal plans, the higher “headroom” offers a buffer against future economic shocks — but this depends on growth and inflation staying within forecasts.


Risks, Criticisms & Uncertainties

  • Because many tax changes are “stealthy” (e.g. threshold freeze), many people may not immediately notice the extra burden — but over time, it adds up. Some critics argue this is a “tax on work.”

  • Some of the promised savings (e.g. lower energy bills) depend on political/market conditions (e.g. wholesale energy prices, inflation) — which remain volatile. If energy prices spike again, gains may be eroded.

  • Long-term commitments (welfare spending, public services funding) may be vulnerable to shifting economic outlook or future governments altering priorities.

  • The balance between new taxes and added public spending depends heavily on future economic growth and public finances — there’s political and economic risk if things don’t go to plan.


Outlook / What to Watch For in 2026 & Beyond

  • Implementation: Will thresholds remain frozen until 2031? Will the mansion tax and other property/wealth levies go ahead on schedule?

  • Inflation and interest-rate moves: If inflation stays high or interest rates fluctuate, cost-of-living benefits may be offset by higher borrowing costs or price rises.

  • Public services & welfare: Whether increased spending on welfare, child poverty and NHS support delivers improved outcomes depends on effective policy delivery and demand pressures.

  • Behavioural responses: Households may change spending/saving habits; businesses may delay investments; property market dynamics may shift — all with wider economic effects.


If you would like further personal advice or help for Tax Return and accounts, please contact our team:

Expert tax advice you can trust – Amin & Co Accountants, Manchester.

 
 
 

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